Showing posts with label law. Show all posts
Showing posts with label law. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 4, 2013

Revisiting Old Trades; Part 2

In my 2nd installment of revisiting old trades we look back on two more deals that happened years in the past that helped shape the BSA as we know it today.  Who got the better end?  Today we visit trades where two aces both moved from the CL to the NL in mid-season deals.  The first being between Kansas City and Boston and the 2nd being between between the LA Bruins and the Reno Cards.

Trade 1: 

7/31/2013 (4 years, 2 months ago) Boston receives SP Jean-Thomas Francoeur from Kansas City in exchange for SP Julio Leon, MR Estefan Jimenez, RF Nick Phillips, CL Brian O'Tormey and 1B Judson Backstrom.

One of the brightest and best starting pitchers in the league coming off his first no hitter earlier in the month and in the last year of his contract gets traded on trade deadline day to the defending champions the Boston Rebels.  In exchange Kansas City received a handful of young talent to help cushion the loss.  Who would get the better in the long run?

To Boston:

SP Jean-Thomas Francoeur - 29 years old. 5/5* - $21M for 1 year, pending FA.

To Kansas Citty:

SP Julio Leon - 26 years old.  3/3* - $7.35M for 2 years.
MR Estefan Jimenez - 26 years old.  3/3* - $1.2M for 1 year.
RF Nick Phillips - 27 years old. 2.5/3* - MLC
CL Brian O'Tormey - 24 years old. 1/2* - MLC
1B Judson Backstrom - 18 years old.  .5/4* - MLC

On the surface it looks as though Kansas City was just trying to get something in return for JTF before he left for free agency.  The got back 3 younger players in Leon, Jimenez and Phillips who would contribute right away, a project flame thrower in O'Tormey and the big piece was Backstrom a very raw 18 year old.  As for Boston, they would sign JTF to 7 year extension worth an astonishing $150 million before the season and pair up aces with Lara and JTF

2013 Stats:

SP Francoeur:
w/KC - 13-3, 2.72 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 2.46 FIP, 142 K, 24 BB, 155.1 IP
w/Bos - 7-1, 1.80 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 2.01 FIP, 90 K, 20 BB, 85.0 IP

SP Leon:
w/Bos - 5-8, 4.92 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 4.40 FIP, 102 K, 42 BB, 126.1 IP
w/KC - 1-4, 6.25 ERA, 1.69 WHIP, 4.69 FIP, 48 K, 18 BB, 63.1 IP

MR Jimenez:
w/ BOS - In Minors
w/KC - 0-1, 7 saves, 5.79 ERA, 1.79 WHIP, 9 K, 5 BB, 14 IP (season ending injury)

RF Phillips:
w/ BOS - .214/.240/.429  70 AB, 3 HR, 15 RBI
w/ KC - In Minors

O'Tormey and Backstrom both were in the minors for both teams in 2013.

JTF was everything and more Boston could have imagined and they still missed out on the playoffs in 2013 severely underperforming winning 14 less games than the year before.  They did sign the big extension to keep JTF around, which if they hadn't a rental wouldn't have been worth the price of the trade. KC actually improved by 10 games from 2012 winning 80 games and finishing a solid 3rd place by far out of the division that Regina ran away with.  Neither Leon nor Jimenez would help the team much in the few months after the trade while the others were in AAA.  

Let's see what ended up happening since the trade:

Francouer: 2 years, 2 months.  40-20, 2.23 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 2.75 FIP, 555 K, 136 BB (Traded to ORL)

Leon: 2 years, 2 months.  15-29, 4.72 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 5.02 FIP, 315 K, 151 BB (Lost to FA - 2016)
Jimenez: 3 years, 2 months.  10-7, 7 saves, 4.02 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 116 K, 67 BB (Lost to FA - 2017)
Phillips: 4 years, 2 months.  .262/.314/.412  142 2B, 48 HR, 298 RBI (Still on KCY)
O'Tormey: 4 years, 2 months.  9-14, 5 saves, 4.41 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, 239 K, 162 BB. (Still on KCY)
Backstrom: Yet to play for KCY, 22 years old, 91st ranked prospect in BSA.

Even 4 years later we have yet to see the ramifications for this trade.  Having the dual aces for Boston, they went to the playoffs 2 of the 3 years they pitched together but could never repeat as champions.  JTF was traded for ORL before the 2016 season for a package at the time looked a lot better than what they paid to get him.  Getting good return helps Boston even if they couldn't win the big one.

As for KCY, Leon remained a back of the rotation starter before leaving via free agency and Jimenez proved to be a decent an option out of the pen, even after having major arm surgery.  Phillips and O'Tormey are both cogs for Kansas City right now.  I would say Phillips is nothing more than average OF while O'Tormey has been an above average reliever for the past 2 seasons.  The real wild card is Backstrom, and was at the time of the deal as well.  He has broke out in AAA this year and if he plays up to his potential he could be a star for years to come.

So did Kansas City get a good deal trading one of the top starting pitchers in the game?  From my point of view, it depends how you look at it. If they couldn't sign him, getting some return was better than nothing. At least they still have 2 players on their active roster and a good hitting prospect still as a result.  After seeing the past few years what aces have gone for, especially in their prime, looking back the Cougars probably should have gotten more than they settled for.  In the end with the return Boston got for JTF, they probably have more now than they started with before they traded for Francouer which is saying something.

Trade 2:

5/1/2013 (4 years, 4 months ago) LA receives SP Jesus Moran, SP Drake Davis, $5M in cash from Reno in exchange for SP Aurelio Ramos, LF Alexander Head, SP Luis Noriega, SP Carlos Garcia, MR Hector Reyes, MR Yu-shu Kong, 1B Lorenzo Morin, SS Susumu Sugiyama, and 3B Miguel Gonzalez.

Whew, the 9-2 plus cash trade.  Moran was the prize being a fully developed 22 year old ace coming off a very good season where he put up an ERA+ of 141 at the age of 22.  Davis a 14 game winner, 125 ERA+ at the age of 27 and $5 million cash leave Reno.  Coming in are 7 players under the age of 21. Would there be enough talent to off set losing an ace and 2/5 of a pitching staff AND cash?  Let's check it out.

To LA:
SP Jesus Moran - 22 years old - 4.5/4.5* - $10.5M for 1 year.
SP Drake Davis - 27 years old - 3/3* - $2.34M for 1 year.
$5M in Cash

To Reno:
SP Aureilo Ramos - 31 years old - 2.5/2.5* - $1.1M for 2 years.
LF Alexander Head - 28 years old - 2/2* - $10.1M for 1 year.
SP Luis Noriega - 17 years old - .5/4* - MLC
SP Carlos Garcia - 18 years old - .5/2.5* - MLC
SP Hector Reyes - 17 years old - .5/1* - MLC
MR Yu-Shu Kong - 17 years old - .5/4* - MLC
1B Lorenzo Morin - 18 years old - 1/2.5* - MLC
SS Susumu Sugiyama - 16 years old - 1/2* - MLC
3B Miguel Gonzalez - 19 years old - 1/3.5* - MLC

The salary swap was almost completely even before Reno decided to throw in an extra $5 million cash in.  Moran was a free agent to be and it's possible Reno would have had trouble signing him long term and traded because of that.  It's a tough thing to do trading a 22 year old ace.  Trading 40% and your 1-2 starters usually has ramifications and this was no different.  2012 the year before the trade was the last time Reno won above 60 games and had more than 60 wins in a season, and we are in year 5 after that.  The group of youngsters are finally seeing the higher levels and the major leagues, let's take a closer look:

2013 stats:

SP Moran: 
w/REN: 1-4, 5.48 ERA, 1.76 WHIP, 4.16 FIP, 26 K, 16 BB, 42.2 IP
w/LA: 17-5, 2.27 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 3.28 FIP, 135 K, 54 BB, 182.2 IP

SP Davis:
w/REN: 0-5, 11.88 ERA, 2.28 WHIP, 6.38 FIP, 11 K, 10 BB, 16.2 IP
w/LA: 0-2, 7.11 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 3.91 FIP, 8 K, 3 BB, 12.2 IP (traded 20 days later)

SP Ramos:
w/LA: 3-1, 2.28 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 3.12 FIP, 18 K, 7 BB, 23.2 IP
w/REN: 2-8, 7.45 ERA, 1.77 WHIP, 5.13 FIP, 75 K, 39 BB, 96.2 IP

LF Head: 
w/LA: .400/.426/.533, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 45 AB
w/REN: .304/.350/.374, 2 HR, 22 RBI, 171 AB

None of the 7 youngsters had any time even close to the ML level at the time of the trade.

As you can see both pitchers were struggling for Reno after very good 2012 campaigns and both players for LA had hot starts and cooled down considerably after reaching Reno.  Moran would have the best season of his career until his 2016 season in Jacksonville.  Interesting enough, the year of the trade was only year LA didn't make the playoffs, missing the Wild Card by 1 game, even though it wasn't Moran's fault.

How did they fare after the trade? Let's see:

Moran: (2 years, 5 months): 39-19, 3.21 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 3.69 FIP, 326 K, 160 BB (Traded to JAK)
Davis: (20 days) 0-2, 7.11 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 3.91 FIP, 8 K, 3 BB, 12.2 IP (Traded to SF)

Ramos: (5 months): 2-8, 7.45 ERA, 1.77 WHIP, 5.13 FIP, 75 K, 39 BB, 96.2 IP (Become FA 2014)
Head:  (1 year, 5 months): .271/.322/.373, 11 HR, 96 RBI, 712 AB (Still in REN, AA club)
Noriega: (3 years): 5-16, 1 save, 8.39 ERA, 1.82 WHIP, 172.2 IP.  20 years old, 1.5/4*
Garcia: (2 years): 1-5, 7.71 ERA, 2.16 WHIP, 63.0 IP.  22 years old, .5/3.5*
Reyes: (1 year): 2-4, 5.30 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 73.0 IP. 22 years old, 3.5/4* (Traded to VIS)
Kong: Hasn't played yet for Reno.  22 years old, 1/4*
Morin: Hasn't played yet for Reno.  22 years old, 1/2.5*
Sugiyama: (1 year): .329/.363/.429, 17 2B, 2 HR, 30 RBI, 252 AB.  21 years old, 1/3.5*
Gonzalez: Never played for Reno. (Traded back to LA in 2015) 23 years old, 4.5/5*

This is one of those trades which even though it's 4 years later, it's still a little premature.  Ramos was space filler and left Reno after the season, Head played part of 2 years before being buried in the minor league system.  The trade was really about the other 7 players.  Unfortunately for Reno the only 2 that have matured have both been trade away in Reyes and Gonzalez.  Still a lot of talent in the system from the trade and it will probably be another 3-4 seasons before we start seeing most of them make a true impact.  

As for LA, Moran pitched well for them for 2+ seasons and was traded the off season before LA won it's first championship.  They did get 3 valuable players who all played key roles in their championship run though.  As for Davis, he lasted 3 starts in LA before Mikey shipped him off to division rival San Fransisco.  That trade looked like this:

LA gets:
SP Tyler Law (3/4* at the time, 2/2* now)  $3.869M for 1 year.
382K

SF gets:
SP Drake Davis
MR Jose Castro (.5/2* at the time, 2.5/4* now)
RF Miguel Montes (1/2* at the time, 2/2* now)

You should by now Mikey wasn't done trading, as he sent Law away less than 2 months later and that trade looked like this:

LA gets: 
MR Zi-jun Chou (4/4* at the time, 4.5/4.5* now) 3.35M for 2 years.
$5M Cash

New Orleans gets:
SP Tyler Law 

After the season was over the trade looked like this for LA:

LA gets:

SP Jesus Moran
MR Zi-jun Chou
$10.382M CASH

LA gives:
SP Aureilo Ramos - 31 years old - 2.5/2.5* - $1.1M for 2 years.
LF Alexander Head - 28 years old - 2/2* - $10.1M for 1 year.
SP Luis Noriega - 17 years old - .5/4* - MLC
SP Carlos Garcia - 18 years old - .5/2.5* - MLC
SP Hector Reyes - 17 years old - .5/1* - MLC
MR Yu-Shu Kong - 17 years old - .5/4* - MLC
1B Lorenzo Morin - 18 years old - 1/2.5* - MLC
SS Susumu Sugiyama - 16 years old - 1/2* - MLC
3B Miguel Gonzalez - 19 years old - 1/3.5* - MLC
MR Jose Castro -18 years old - (.5/2* at the time, 2.5/4* now)
RF Miguel Montes - 16 years old - (1/2* at the time, 2/2* now)

While the trade will be hard to judge for Reno for a couple of seasons, LA did give a lot that season in terms of their farm system.  9 players under the age of 20, all between 2-4* potential.  They got back an ace, a very good middle reliever and over $10 million in cash, not to mention giving away equal salary.  They turned Moran and Chou into valuable parts that help win a championship.  I would say this trade was surely a win for the Bruins and depending on what a couple of the youngsters still in Reno's system, could very well end up being a win for them as well.

GO D-BAGS


Thursday, February 7, 2013

Bags Finish Off Vista in 5; Head Back to CLCS

After starting the series 1-1 playing the first two games in Vista, Jersey headed back home to The Ballpark at the Shore for their first 3 home games of these 2016 playoffs.  Jersey won game 1 handily with Art Ellis pitching them to an 8-2 win.  Game 2 was a masterpiece turned in by Michael Hoffmeyer who out dueled the rookie Jose Ramos for a slim 2-1 victory, a victory that GM Josh Swain was afraid of.  "We have the bats, they have the arms.  There's no doubt in my mind that we can beat them in a shoot out, its the 1-0, 2-1, 3-2 games that will lose us this series.  We need to stay away from those," is a quote from Swain before the series, thus far he seems to be right.  On to Jersey!

Game 3

Gane 3 would feature a matchup between Tyler "Big Train" Law of Vista and Dan "Simple Man" Macias of Jersey.  Law, who missed more than 2 months with elbow tendonitis during the year, pitched great all season, including a no-hitter against the Reno Cards.  He shut down Jersey in both his starts this season, pitching 14.2 innings of shutout ball.  Macias, the the 36 year old veteran, had his worst season as a pro as his strike out totals fell and ERA rose.  He did have a great September which Jersey is hoping for good signs during this postseason.

Macias, who struggled mightily in the playoffs a year ago, would get things started nicely for Jersey taking the first 3 Vista hitters in order.  The stadium was packed down to standing room only tickets and gave an ovation as he got All-Star John Doby to strike out to end the first.  Tyler Law would take the mound for Vista and whatever concerns Jersey hitters had about him shutting them down all season quickly disappeared.  Two quick walks and a hit by pitched loaded the bases for Matt Doyle with no one out.  Doyle would waste no time and take the 2nd offering to the gap in left-center bringing home 2 runs an sending Bryant to 3rd.  The next batter Dodd would walk on 4 pitches to re-load the bases, still with no one out.  A harmless fly ball would get Romero, but Bryant would tag and score the third Jersey run.  Catcher Warren Goyer would fly out for the 2nd out before Alberto Perez would single on a line drive over shortstop to load the bases for the 3rd time in the inning.  Law's control problems would continue as Tim Duncan would step in and not take the bat off his shoulder for 4 straight pitches forcing in the 4th run from 3rd base and surprisingly ending Law's night.  It resulted in the shortest outing of the season for him.  Carlos Arevalo would relieve Law and strike out leadoff man Sergio Rodriguez on 3 pitches.  But the damage was done.  After 1 inning, Jersey held a 4-0 lead.

Macias apparently came to work.  Even after the long delay of batting around he came out and retired the side in order for the 2nd straight time.  Jersey would waste no time getting more.  SS Lawrence Schroeder led off the inning with a single and 2 batters later Matt Doyle would connect and pull a line drive down the line that barely stayed fair for a 2 run HR.  It chased Arevalo from the game, and the 6 runs would be more than Jersey needed today.

An RBI triple from Schroeder would bring in the 7th run in the 3rd and an RBI single from Perez would bring home the 8th run in the 4th.  Macias would stay out of the trouble until the 5th when Torres connected on a 2 run HR.  Brian Cash would leadoff the 6th with a solo HR to bring the Jersey lead to 8-3 and follow that up with an RBI sac fly in the 7th to shave one more run off.  A triple and wild pitch would bring home Vista's 5th run in the 8th before Macias was done for the night.  Even though he gave up 5 ER he was effective enough to pick up the win.  Jose Gomes and Jaime Saenz would close out the last 5 batters to preserve the 8-5 win for the Bags and give them a 2-1 series lead.

Final Score: Jersey 8  Vista  5
POTG:  Matt Doyle  2-5, 2R, 2B, HR, 4RBI

Game 4

Game 4 would turn out to be the most interesting game of the series.  Vista would bring Cipriano Montanez back on short rest while Jersey would send the embattled Jerry Burgess to the mound.  Burgess was regulated to bullpen duty for much of August and September before coming back and throwing a quality start against Pocatello during the last series of the year.

Things did not start well for Burgess.  A walk, single and walk loaded the bases with no outs, just like Jersey did the day  the before.  Vista would get their 4 runs but they did it on one swing.  Roberto Bojorquez would only need one swing to send a Burgess offering high, deep and gone over the CF wall to put Jersey in a 4-0 hole before an out was recorded in the game.  Burgess would shake it off and retire the next 3 batters before heading to the dugout in a quiet stadium.  Montanez was sharp in the 1st inning, needing only 8 pitches to saw through 3 Jersey hitters to get us to the 2nd inning.  Either Manager Kevin Davis had faith in Burgess or just didn't want to waste his bullpen, but Burgess headed out to the mound for the 2nd inning.  A walk, double play, single and groundout ended the top half, while Jersey would go down in order in the bottom half to end the inning.

Burgess would go back to work in the 3rd giving up a lead off single Bojoquez before getting 2 straight outs.  But a single from Torres and back to back walks would force in Vista's 5th run, but Brian Cash couldn't capitalize and break the game open by grounding out to end the threat.  The Bags would finally show some sign of life in the 3rd getting two free passes to start things off before Luis Antonio Duran came to plate.  Duran would single up the middle which would score one, and advance the runners on the throw to home.  An RBI groundout from Larson would plate the 2nd run, giving the Bags a runner on 2nd with one out.  An Adam Morrow single would put runners at the corners and Mikey Bryant would be the 2nd D-Bag to be hit by a pitch, which loaded the bases.  Montanez probably got the biggest out of the day by getting masher Matt Doyle to weakly hit into a 4-6-3 double play to end the inning.  Both teams left the bases loaded.  Jersey shaved part of the lead off, going into the 4th, Vista led 5-2.

Burgess would finally get the hook when he surrendered a 1 out double Doby and was replaced by Greg Schaefer.  Schaefer would get an out before giving up back to back singles where Vista would plate their 6th run.  Torres would strike out with 2 runners on to end the threat.  As usual Jersey batters wouldn't lay down.  The struggling Dave Dodd led off the inning with an exciting triple and came around to score on Perez's single before Montanez retired 3 batters in a row to end the 4th.  Both teams score, 6-3 Vista lead.  The 5th went by without any damage from Vista, but MVP showed up for Jersey.  2 pitches after Schroeder pulled a double down the left field line, Bryant would take a Montanez fastball the other way landing 340 feet away and bringing the Bags to within 1 and the crowd to their feet.  It was Bryant's 1st HR of the series and just his 2nd and 3rd RBI in 4 games.

Both teams would pose threats in the 6th and 7th innings but no one could come up with a clutch hit until the bottom of the 8th.  Vista would bring in Evan Brown to pitch to the left handed hitting rookie Torres, who would get the best of him and single on a line drive to CF.  Brown would be replaced with rookie 1st round pick Edward Cadle who gave up a line drive single to former ROY Adam Morrow to put 2 runners on with no outs.  Arevalo would replace Cadle who had a battle with Peter Larson before getting him to ground into a HUGE unassisted DP from Brian Cash.  Arevalo couldn't get all the way out of trouble though.  Lawrence Schroeder would hit a grounder pasts a diving Cash to score the runner from third and knot up this ballgame at 6 runs apiece. There could have been more trouble when he walked both Bryant and Doyle, but got Dodd to lazily fly out to send to send us to the 9th tied up.

Both teams would go down in order in the 9th sending us to our first extra inning game of the series.  The 10th was no different, 6 up and 6 down.  This was a pivotal game for both teams.  Vista would threaten in their half of the 11th getting a lead-off single from Cash and a successful sac bunt from Cassidy to give Vista a runner in scoring position.  John Doby would be given a free pass and like many other times in this series, the Vista bats wouldn't come through.  Flame thrower Mungo Saenz would get Ashur and House both swinging to a huge ovation from the crowd.  They wanted a Jersey win. With the meat of the order coming up, there would be no better time for the Bags.  Bryant quickly got his 4th hit of the game a double into the left field corner and Doyle was walked to set up the double play.  Goyer would pinch hit for Dodd and fly out to right field to bring up last year's playoff hero and this year's All Star game hero Alberto Perez.  Why not? Perez took a 2-0 pitch and grounded the ball up the middle.  Bryant would score without a throw and and was met at the plate by the team for a mini mosh pit to celebrate the walk off win.  Down 5-0 and to come away winners was a great feeling.  Going up 3-1 in the series with a chance to close it out at home was an even better one.

Final Score  Jersey 7  Vista 6
POTG:  Roberto Bojoquez  2-4, R, HR, 4RBI

Game 5

If you were expecting a close nail-biter this wasn't your game.  Game 1 Art Ellis winner would take the mound against Game 2 winner Michael Hoffmeyer pitching on short rest.  Ellis was nothing short of brilliant on this evening.  Hoffmeyer labored, couldn't avoid the Jersey bats and this one was over before it even began.  Jersey scored in every inning but the 3rd and the 5th highlighted by Home Runs from Bryant and Doyle in the 4th and the 6th, 4 total hits for Bryant and 4 hits from Peter Larson.  Every Jersey regular besides Alberto Perez had a hit and Art Ellis would go 7 scoreless innings giving up 4 singles and 1 walk on his way to 8 strikeouts and his 2nd win of the series.  Hoffmeyer wouldn't get out of the 4th inning and 4 other relievers would pitch and all would give up runs.  In the end the Bags won in laughing fashion 11-0 in front of 35,000 fans and would earn their right to take on the winner of the Toronto-Greenville series, which Toronto holds a 3-2 lead in.

Final Score:  Jersey 11  Vista 0
POTG:  Mike Bryant 4-5, 2R, 2 2B, HR, 3RBI

Summary:

From what we said in the pre-series summary, if Vista is going to win they need to limit the Jersey bats.  They did in 1 game, which resulted in a Vista win.  In the other 4 games Jersey scored 8,8,7 and 11.  The bats were just too much for the Panthers. I also want to give much respect to the bullpen.  They were outstanding, only 3 hits in 15+ innings giving up no runs and striking out 16.  

Series MVP:  Mike Bryant  13-22 (.591) 7R, 5 2B, 2 HR, 6 RBI

Other notable performers:

Alberto Perez: 8-21, .381, 5RBI
Matt Doyle:  6-21, 5R, 2HR, 8RBI
Art Ellis: 2-0, 1.42 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 14 K
Entire Bullpen: 15.2 IP, 3H, 0ER, 0R, 3BB, 16K