Tuesday, May 24, 2016

How Much are Titles Worth? Breaking Down the German Rivas Trade.

On June 5th, 2015 one of the biggest trades in BSA history took place.  German "Golden" Rivas, the face of the Orlando franchise, was sent to the Toronto Titans for a staggering 14 players.  Playing in a contract year with the Calrissian who were on pace to lose 100+ games, Jason Goldberg and James Patterson struck a monumental deal which would change both franchises.  3 years short of the 10 year anniversary of this trade, how did both teams fare?  Who got the better end?  Let's break it down.

To TORONTO:

OF German Rivas.  The then 29 year old Rivas would sign a 6 year deal worth $88.5M and would spend the entire length of the contract with the Titans, giving him 6.5 seasons in a Toronto uniform.  Over that time period, Rivas would put up 30.7 WAR, a triple slash line of .299/.393/.530 to go with 192 HR, 201 2B, 652 RBI and 141 SB.  He would make the CL All Star team 4 times in those 6 years following the trade and was an instrumental part of a lineup that would go onto win back-to-back BSA Championships in 2018 and 2019.

Totals: 30.7 WAR, 4 AS games, 2 titles.

To ORLANDO:

SP Reagen Wear.  One of two crown jewels of the deal.  The 33rd ranked prospect before the 2015 season.  Wear has been everything that he was projected to be and then some.  The 30 year old SP has a career record of 126-95 with a 3,46 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and a career WAR of 49.7.  His 2021 season in which he won the NL Cy Young was one of the best seasons in BSA history for a starting pitcher where he posed a BSA record 1.22 ERA, 0.79 WHIP and 10.7 WAR.  Wear is under contract with Orlando for next 4 seasons as well.

126-95 record, 49.7 WAR, 1 Cy Young, 6 AS games

1B/DH Santiago Marquez.  The 2nd of crown jewel prospects found in the trade.  Marquez was ranked the 85th prospect before the season in 2015.  Known simply as Q in Orlando, Marquez was 18 when the trade happened and though probably rushed, he played 85 games with Orlando that season.  The now 28 year old is under contract with the Calrissian for the next 4 seasons as well.  In his career thus far, Q has put up 35.1 WAR, 321 HR, 301 2B, 1032 RBI as well as winning the 2024 NL MVP award.  He is a fan favorite and is probably heading towards 3000 hits and 500 HR.

35.1 WAR, 6 AS games, 1 MVP

CF Bryce Hopkins.  The 28 year old Hopkins came over in the trade to be a replacement for Rivas in CF.  He won the 2014 gold glove the year before and while he only would spend the remainder of 2015 in Orlando and the next 3 years, he would have 3 of his top 5 overall seasons there.  Hopkins played in 576 games over 3.5 seasons putting up 21.1 WAR with a triple slash line of .280/.343/.438 with 134 doubles, 28 triples and 58 HR.  He would make one all star team before leaving the team via free agency in 2019.

21.1 WAR, 1 AS game.

MR Max Jones.  A 29 year old reliever at the time of trade, Jones would be a staple in the Orlando bullpen from 2015-2018 before bouncing around the minors for a few years and retiring in 2021.  Jones pitched in 209 games over a 4 year span with a 3.27 ERA, striking out 216 batters in 242 innings and produced a 2.3 WAR/

2.3 WAR.

MR Randolph Plante.  A 28 year old reliever who put up a 2.81 ERA in Toronto in 16 innings in 2014.  He would throw in 94 games over the next 2 years for Orlando, including a league high 91 appearances in 2016.  In 2 seasons he put a 4.72 ERA, striking out 94 batters in 108.2 IP, which was good for a 1.7 WAR,

1.7 WAR 

MR Jorge Ibarra.  A 28 year old reliever at the time of trade, Ibarra had a spectacular 2014 in the Toronto pen, which ended with a 0.43 ERA, 0.79 WHIP and completely aided by a .155 BABIP.  He would pitch for the Calrissian for 2.5 seasons before leaving for Irvine in free agency and ultimately retiring in 2023.  He would pitch in 76 games, including 34 starts for Orlando.  He would end his time in Orlando pitching 214 innings of 4.91 ERA ball, good for 1.4 WAR.

1.4 WAR

MR Michael Taylor.  A 32 year old reliever who was a big part of the Titans bullpen in 2014.  He would pitch in the Orlando pen for remainder of 2015 and parts of the next 4 years before becoming a free agent and eventually retiring in 2019.  His time in Orlando saw him pitch in 198 games, 210 innings with a 3.34 ERA and contributing 1.3 WAR

1.3 WAR.

OF Salvador Gonzales.  A 19 year old and ranked 67th best prospect before the 2015 season who showed a lot of promise in AA after coming over in the trade.  He would be called up in 2016 at the age of 20 and would struggled in 68 games.  Over the next 2 seasons he would generally play in AAA and would look major league ready mid-way through the 2018 season where he would put up his best season in 130 games.  He would eventually be claimed off of waivers by Reno in 2020.  He played in 372 games for the Calrissian, putting up a line of .264/.313/.408 with 28 HR and 167 RBI.  Good for a WAR of 0.3.

0.3 WAR

MR Tetsunori Okamoto.  A 35 year old throw in who would start 3 games in Orlando before being released just over a month after the trade.  He went 1-2 in his 3 starts with an ERA of 9.82 and WHIP of 2.25, where he walked 6.8 batters per 9 and had a .368 BABIP.  His time in Orlando would be the last he would see of the bigs and he retired in 2017.

0 WAR

SS Michael Cooke.  At the time of trade, Cooke was your glove first utility infielder.  He would play the next season with Orlando, playing excellent 2B and SS and struggling at the plate.  He would become a free agent and sign with Seattle in 2017 before eventually retiring in 2019.  in 106 games with the Calrissian, Cooke would put up a triple slash line of .226/.274/.276 with a ZR of +8.3 at 2 posititions.

-0.1 WAR



MR Kenneth Duncan.  A 33 year old journeyman reliever at the time, would get 2 starts in Orlando during the 2015 season, neither of which went well.  He gave up 12 runs in 11.2 innings pitched and was released shortly after.  He would sign back with Toronto after the season and appear in 30 games with the Titans over the next 2 years.

-0.2 WAR.

MR Bill Boland.  At the time the 30 year old reliever was bouncing between AAA and the big league club. He would pitch 2 seasons for Orlando appearing in 55 games. His overall stat line was a 5.23 ERA and a -0.2 WAR. After becoming a free agent following the 2016 season he would fail to pitch in the majors again, finally retiring in 2022.

-0.2 WAR.



MR Juan Reyes.  A 26 year old reliever who had never seen the majors before coming to Orlando in 2015. He would struggle in 2 seasons before being claimed off the waiver wire by Irvine in 2017.  He would go on to have some decent seasons in Los Cabos and is one of the only players still active in the trade, as he was recently signed to a minor league contract by the Cartel.  He appeared in 103 games for Orlando, putting up a 5.56 ERA as control has never been his forte.  

-0.4 WAR

2B Vicente Morales.  A toss in who would never see a game in an Orlando uniform and also would never find his way back to the big leagues who eventually retired in 2022.

Total for Orlando:  112 WAR, 13 AS games, 1 Cy Young, 1 MVP


Once broken down, the 14 players to Orlando turned out to be 3 good prospects, 1 ML player and generally a group of middling veterans who wouldn't produce much.  Wear is still an ace, Marquez is a monster and both are locked up for the next 4 years.  Rivas helped Toronto to two banners and Toronto went to the playoffs in 6 of the 7 seasons he was there.

So what's your opinion?  Who's side do you want?